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AFP
Cope wants 30 seats
Fri, 24 Apr 2009 12:00
The Congress of the People was hopeful on Friday that it could
fill 30 seats in Parliament after an uphill election race in which
it came from behind to finish a respectable third and shake up
South African politics
"At this rate we could make 30 seats. It's great," said party
spokesperson Sipho Ngwema at the election results centre in Pretoria
where grinning party officials posed for photographs under the
electronic "scoreboard" as Cope took its millionth vote.
By late afternoon, with about 15 million votes counted, the
breakaway party formed mere months ago in protest at Thabo Mbeki's
political demise, had claimed more than 1.113 million votes,
translating into seven to eight percent of ballots cast on
Wednesday.
Political analyst and author William Gumede said the score had
given the newcomer "a very good platform", adding that it was now
time for its leaders to forge strong policies.
Fellow analyst Aubrey Matshiqi agreed, calling it "a remarkable
success" that showed black voters were looking for a credible
alternative to the African National Congress and that marked the
start of a reconfiguration of South African politics.
He said Cope ate into the ANC's support but also took votes away
from small opposition parties because voters believed it would
prove better than those at countering the ruling party.
"What Cope has been able to capture is that our voters are
prepared to vote strategically. Voters were looking for a party
that could challenge the ANC more effectively.
"Cope can in future redistribute the black
vote"
"Which means that Cope can in future redistribute the black
vote, at the expense of the Democratic Alliance I suspect."
He said Cope could be on its way to dethroning the DA as the
official opposition since that party's personal best of almost 16
percent in this election simply meant that it had consolidated its
support among minority groups.
Cope's leaders have given the party's results a low-key welcome,
mindful perhaps of their early claims that it could wrest power
from the ANC in the Eastern Cape and take 20 percent of votes
nationally or even win.
The ANC held on to the Eastern Cape by a wide margin, but Cope
managed to come second and seemed set to be the official opposition
in at least three more regions, an important feat two years away
from fresh local elections.
Mvume Dandala, Cope's compromise presidential candidate, told
reporters it was a good outcome for a "party without posters", a
reference to its shoestring election budget - a reported R11-million compared to the ANC's R200-million war chest.
Cope president Terror Lekota, who quit as defence minister to
lead the break away from the ANC, refused to say whether he was
disappointed at missing a double digit score.
"I am humbly grateful to the voters who have listened to us."
He added that it was "historic" for a new party to win seats in
every provincial legislature.
Deputy president Mbhazima Shilowa reminded reporters that Cope
was the first new party born the since end of apartheid to win more
than five percent of the vote.
Political analyst Steven Friedman said Cope's leaders had set
themselves up for perceived failure with wild claims in the run-up
to the election.
"For a new party trying to get a foothold it did quite well.
But the kind of expectations placed on Cope or that Cope placed on
itself were entirely unrealistic. Sam Shilowa is an intelligent
adult, he should never have said they could win."
Matshiqi agreed that the party had "thought it could do much
better" but advised it to avoid a messy, divisive post mortem of
mistakes, which he said included fielding Dandala as a moral
counterweight to ANC leader Jacob Zuma.
"Attacking Zuma's moral position backfired, especially with the
withdrawing of the charges of corruption against the country's
future president," he said.
Instead it should focus on consolidating its gains, which were
stronger on provincial than national level, in the 2011 local
elections likely to be the most competitive yet of the
post-apartheid era.