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Ratings: Mbeki vs Zuma
Article By:
Tue, 22 Jul 2008 12:01
Thabo Mbeki's approval rating as president of South Africa has
dropped since the beginning of the year, according to a TNS Research
Survey released on Monday.
Researchers also found that ANC president Jacob Zuma's approval
ratings had not seen a significant overall rise since they started
measuring his ratings as party president in February.
The company conducted the two surveys among 2000 people living in
metropolitan areas to gauge the approval rating for the two in their
different leadership capacities.
They have conducted approval ratings for Mbeki for a number of years
and found that the latest reading, taken in June 2008, showed a decline
from 37 percent in April, to 32 percent in June.
In 2005 Mbeki's approval score averaged 61 percent, with a high of
66 percent in April 2005.
It dropped to 54 percent by the end of that year but hovered around
that level until June 2007.
In September 2007 there was a drop of 14
percentage points to 40
percent, his lowest since April 2003. His approval average for 2007 was
noted as 48 percent.
The approval rating among black respondents came in at 43 percent
(down from 65 percent for the same period in 2007), whites 10 percent,
(34 percent in June 2007) coloureds 15 percent (33 percent in June
2007) and Indians and Asians nine percent (43 percent in June 2007).
By black language groups, researchers found that his approval
ratings were highest among isiXhosa speakers at 57 percent, and lowest
among isiZulu speakers at 37 percent.
The company said analysis by area showed that in June 2008 approval
for Mbeki in the Eastern Cape was 49 percent, with 76 percent in East
London and 37 percent in Port Elizabeth.
It was lowest in Durban at 18 percent, and Cape Town at 21 percent.
His approval rating in Gauteng was 36 percent. For Johannesburg,
excluding Soweto, it was 36 percent, Soweto 30 percent, East Rand
36
percent, West Rand 33 percent, and Vaal/South Rand 48 percent.
Pretoria was 37 percent and Bloemfontein was 65 percent.
Asking "Is Jacob Zuma doing a good job as president of the ANC?"
researchers found that 37 percent said yes, a one percentage point
increase from April and February's 36 percent and 44 percent said no,
compared with 40 percent in April and 38 percent in February.
The number of people who said they did not know dropped to 19
percent, from 24 percent in April and 26 percent in February.
Black men showed the highest approval rating for Zuma, (58 percent),
with black women at 46 percent.
Among black respondents his "yes" approval rating was 52 percent, up
from 50 percent, whites nine percent, (16 percent in April and eight
percent in February), coloureds 11 percent (six percent in April and 11
percent in February) and Indians and Asians 13 percent (12 percent in
April, and 18 percent in February).
Zuma's
approval rating also dropped off "markedly" for those aged 50
and over, researchers found.
In the Eastern Cape Zuma's approval percentage was 14 percent, (10
percent for April and February) with 13 percent in Port Elizabeth and
16 percent in East London, and in Cape Town it was 18 percent (from 14
percent in April and 17 percent in February).
In Durban it was 46 percent, down from 47 percent in April and 50
percent in February) and in Bloemfontein 50 percent, up from 40 percent
in April and 48 percent in February).
His approval ratings were higher among isiZulu speakers (63 percent)
and lowest among isiXhosa speakers (38 percent).
Researchers concluded that the fall in approval ratings for Mbeki
had been across all race groups, with the Eastern Cape and Pretoria
being the only areas to show "resilience".
Zuma's approval rating as president of the ANC is "still quite low",
but the "proportion of people sitting on the fence is
beginning to
drop".
They concluded that "As the president's approval rating continues to
fall, it is clear that, as yet, Jacob Zuma's rating is not yet rising
to fill what may be becoming a perceived leadership vacuum."